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Will the bursting of HB 2022 make 2008 look like the proverbial Sunday school picnic?

Housing bubble 2022 is NOT Housing bubble 2008

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Why this housing downturn is nothing like the last one With the caveat that the Housing bubble (HB) 2022 is not yet officially categorized as...
The elephant in the room as far as the housing bubble 2.0 is concerned is the affordability crisis of the US consumer and the trends of increasing interest rates due to the inflation pipeline that has been built prior to 2022 with nearly 15 years of ZIRP

Is there a conundrum in the US Housing Market?

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Bubble will burst? For starters, all bubbles pose this issue – there is never a consensus that the bubble – however big it may be...
Why the AI, Housing, and Bond bubbles are set to burst—and what it means for the US Dollar

A global currency crisis in 2026?

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How the Federal Reserve engineered the next Great Depression Let me start with an “AI” summary of the article, since that’s the most likely step...
Could CLOs amplify the next downturn?

Were the Collateral Debt Obligations (CDO) one of the main reasons for the Great...

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Are CLOs the next financial risk? Comparing today’s leveraged-loan boom with the CDOs of 2008 Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) were indeed one of the major...
Why gold could reach $6,000 by 2026—and $24,000 before 2030

Interest rate cuts – A sinker to a plunging Dollar

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The Fed’s rate cuts, the decline of the US Dollar, and the future of gold The US Dollar has been in a rapid decline since...
Why Trump’s push for rate cuts under fiscal dominance could trigger stagflation

Is the Fed setting up Trump to be the scapegoat?

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Phillips Curve myths and the inflationary bust ahead for the US In Greek mythology, Scylla and Charybdis are two mythical sea monsters guarding a narrow...
Given that it is a dollar crisis tomorrow, it will be that much harder for them to maintain the illusion of the guardian

Powell should gladly accept Trump’s firing

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Trump, Powell, and the coming crash: A game of blame and bubble If Powell had any sense of what lies ahead, he would accept Trump’s...
The rating agencies have done a real disservice for decades by not pointing out the terribly flawed fundamentals behind the US Dollar

Moody’s meaningless downgrade

Moody’s downgrades US credit rating Moody’s downgraded the US government's credit rating on May 16th from Aaa to Aa1, citing the uncontrolled increase in government...
Coming to the here and now, very few have “connected the dots” between these two catastrophic events of 1971 and 1913 and the economic collapse that lies straight ahead

Gold – Is $3,000/oz in 2025 cheaper than $35/oz in 1971?

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The price of gold keeps climbing Gold prices have nearly doubled in the last 18 months from the lows of $1575/oz in September 2022. Despite...
If Modi wants to be remembered the way US citizens fondly remember George Washington, Patrick Henry, and Thomas Jefferson, then the above framework outlines the path to operate under

Indian Budgets – Missing the Forest for the Trees

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Indian Budgets: A legacy of interventionism and economic control I have consciously avoided commenting on Indian budgets despite writing extensively on various macroeconomic issues over...

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