
The IMF rated the trend in cyber risk as worsening
As financial services become more digital and more tightly connected, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that cyberattacks on critical financial institutions and market infrastructure could disrupt essential services and shake confidence in the system.
A growing systemic risk
In its latest report, the IMF said a successful attack could have severe consequences, especially if it hits major banks, payment systems or other critical infrastructure. It rated the trend in cyber risk as worsening.
The Fund named cyber threats as one of three major risks that could trigger a sharp tightening of financial conditions and turmoil in markets. The other two are a possible correction in the prices of AI-related assets and a sharp rise in sovereign bond yields.
AI cuts both ways
The report pointed to the growing role of advanced artificial intelligence in cyber threats. “Frontier AI models are emerging as both powerful enablers of cyberattacks and critical defensive tools,” the IMF said. It added that state-sponsored groups, ransomware gangs and insiders now have access to increasingly powerful tools, including AI models that have performed strongly in simulated network attacks.
Why the system is exposed
Rapid digitalisation has widened the points of attack for financial institutions, which now depend on interconnected technologies, cloud services, outside providers and real-time payment and settlement systems. The IMF also flagged the risk of heavy dependence on a handful of critical technology providers. Complex and sometimes unclear links between third-party service providers could create shared points of failure across institutions, it said.
How a shock could spread
An attack on payments, trading or access to deposits could cause immediate losses and weaken trust in the financial system. A disruption at a critical institution or service provider could also travel through operational and financial links, squeezing the supply of credit and other services.
What the IMF recommends
The Fund called for stronger cybersecurity capabilities, better reporting of incidents, closer oversight of third-party risks and greater operational resilience. It also stressed the importance of keeping critical financial services running without interruption.
The IMF added that these risks may not threaten financial stability on their own, but could become systemic when they are amplified by existing vulnerabilities, with the potential for serious economic damage.
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