How Assembly opinion poll results may be impacted by perceptions

The results of the C Voter-ABP News opinion poll released on Monday evening, says a lot about voters’ choices in different states

The results of the C Voter-ABP News opinion poll released on Monday evening, says a lot about voters’ choices in different states
The results of the C Voter-ABP News opinion poll released on Monday evening, says a lot about voters’ choices in different states

Assembly opinion poll results: What does C Voter survey about poll-bound states?

The voter’s behavior or their opinion can be affected by many factors in the Assembly polls. Anti-incumbency for contestants, perceptions about who is set to win the polls, outright anger with the existing ruling party over local issues and certain local factors are among the factors affecting voters’ behavior.

The results of the C Voter-ABP News opinion poll released on Monday evening, says a lot about voters’ choices in different states. Though a large number of voters seemed upset and angry with their existing ruling parties in Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, and Goa, the perceptions about who will win differed in the states.

The Punjab opinion polls revealed that as low as 12.2 percent of voters “perceived” that Congress will win the elections and 65.4 percent of the voters are angry and wanted the government out. Punjab seems to be troubled waters for Congress. The ruling Congress is facing anger and is reinforced by perceptions of winnability. This is a clear double whammy for the party.

The C Voter-ABP News has projected that the BJP will win a simple majority in Uttar Pradesh. As per the opinion polls, in Uttar Pradesh, around 46.8 percent of voters are upset with the BJP government and want it out and 48.1 percent of the voters perceived or felt that the BJP will win the elections.

In Goa, although the BJP may seem to win comfortably, as many as 50.4 percent of voters revealed that they are upset and wanted the current government out. Yet, close to 40 percent of voters perceived the BJP will win the elections. This is certainly going to give the ruling BJP a close edge.

C Voter revealed that In Uttarakhand 51.8 percent feel that the BJP will retain power while 43.3 percent of voters want to change the government.

[With Inputs from IANS]

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